Tropical Storm JULIA Advisory Fri Oct 07

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132022
0300 UTC FRI OCT 07 2022

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

BELIZE CITY    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)   X(12)
BELIZE CITY    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

PUERTO BARRIOS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  13(17)   X(17)

GUANAJA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   8(19)   X(19)
GUANAJA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)
GUANAJA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)

PUERTO CABEZAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  41(44)   3(47)   X(47)
PUERTO CABEZAS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)   1(16)   X(16)
PUERTO CABEZAS 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BLUEFIELDS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  18(19)   1(20)   X(20)
BLUEFIELDS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
BLUEFIELDS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

SAN ANDRES     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  29(30)  24(54)   X(54)   X(54)
SAN ANDRES     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  16(24)   X(24)   X(24)
SAN ANDRES     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

LIMON          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

COLON          34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

PT GALLINAS    34 11   3(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

KINGSTON       34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
FORECASTER BEVEN