Tropical Storm LAN Advisory Mon Oct 16
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 171016020722
2017101600 25W LAN 003 02 305 09 SATL 060
T000 106N 1357E 035 R034 045 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD
T012 112N 1344E 045 R034 085 NE QD 105 SE QD 025 SW QD 055 NW QD
T024 120N 1332E 055 R050 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 130 SE QD 035 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 128N 1325E 065 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 010 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 205 SE QD 055 SW QD 095 NW QD
T048 141N 1317E 075 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 230 SE QD 140 SW QD 130 NW QD
T072 167N 1310E 090 R064 035 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 095 SE QD 090 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 175 NE QD 230 SE QD 190 SW QD 155 NW QD
T096 199N 1312E 105 R064 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 035 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 145 NE QD 145 SE QD 130 SW QD 100 NW QD R034 245 NE QD 300 SE QD 225 SW QD 180 NW QD
T120 232N 1318E 115 R064 065 NE QD 065 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 180 NE QD 160 SE QD 145 SW QD 160 NW QD R034 285 NE QD 310 SE QD 245 SW QD 265 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 25W (LAN) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (LAN) WARNING NR 003
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
160000Z --- NEAR 10.6N 135.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.6N 135.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 11.2N 134.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 12.0N 133.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 12.8N 132.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
205 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 14.1N 131.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 16.7N 131.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 19.9N 131.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 245 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
225 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 23.2N 131.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
310 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
245 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
265 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
160300Z POSITION NEAR 10.7N 135.4E.
TROPICAL STORM 25W (LAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 156 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 160900Z, 161500Z, 162100Z AND 170300Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
2517101218 83N1442E 15
2517101300 85N1435E 15
2517101306 87N1428E 15
2517101312 87N1417E 15
2517101318 87N1406E 15
2517101400 85N1397E 20
2517101406 83N1392E 20
2517101412 78N1387E 20
2517101418 79N1382E 20
2517101500 85N1379E 20
2517101506 90N1373E 20
2517101512 93N1368E 25
2517101518 101N1364E 30
2517101600 106N1357E 35
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